My foray into hurricane forecasting

For a few months now, I have participated in the Good Judgment Open (GJO) forecasting tournament. One of the questions I am trying my luck at is, How many total hurricanes will occur in the Atlantic Ocean in the 2022 hurricane season, according to the National Hurricane Center? GJ Open, 2022 The answer should be […]

Verifying hurricane Irma’s projected path

By Jan Verkade ( Between Wednesday, August 30th and Tuesday, September 12, the US National Hurricane Center issued 52 advisories pertaining to Tropical Storm and Hurricane Irma. The NHC advisories described her observed and projected location as well as her characteristics. They were posted on the web in a number of formats including text bulletins […]