Introduction Post Hurricane Irma’s passage over Florida, back in September 2017, I analysed the quality of the forecasts that had been issued by the US National Hurricane Center. When Hurricane Dorian made its way to the US coast, I showed the Irma blog post to my friend Chris, a traffic modeler and forecaster. In response, […]
Category: case study
Verifying hurricane Irma’s projected path
By Jan Verkade (jan@forecastverification.com) Between Wednesday, August 30th and Tuesday, September 12, the US National Hurricane Center issued 52 advisories pertaining to Tropical Storm and Hurricane Irma. The NHC advisories described her observed and projected location as well as her characteristics. They were posted on the web in a number of formats including text bulletins […]